Los Alamos National Laboratory and the University of Washington just released a report describing what might happen in the US if the strain mutated a bit more and caused a flu outbreak.
The results are truly frightening. From today's AP story:
Left unchecked, a global outbreak of bird flu could infect 54 percent of the U.S. population and peak in just over two months, while a less-contagious strain could affect a third of the population and peak after 117 days, a new report predicts.Tim Germann, a computational scientist at Los Alamos, spoke frankly:
"Eventually there will be a pandemic strain, and we're probably overdue for one."Experts consulted by the journalist apparently recommended travel restrictions and quarantines as measures to try to avoid the worst-case scenario.
As I blogged last February, this kind of health crisis could post a genuine threat to all Americans -- and perhaps to global security.
On the bright side, the death rate is down from 70% at that time.
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